I probably should be studying for finals instead of posting here, but I really wanted to reply to you, snubs. =p
snubs wrote:It is true, the SS does have more new members posting more consistently (whether they eventually fade out or not). The ToO gets new members but they rarely POST. : x It's frustrating.
Yeah, I think this is true of message boards in general. Whether people make an account just to see member-only areas, or if they simply never get interested enough to post, it's a relatively rare event for someone to join and post their way into the core member group.
snubs wrote:Which leads back to most of the ToO's members being older. You have to remember it didn't quite start out that way. Maybe they weren't as young as 12, but they weren't in their 20s when they first joined. A lot of the oldies/midbies (or core group of members, as you say TS) joined when they were around 14-17. (I was 16 when I joined the ToO) And now they are all older and busier and frequent the board a lot less. I noticed a good bunch of them still come around pretty often, they just don't post (nearly as much).
This is definitely true. Most people are going to post the most in their teenage years, and possibly into their early 20s, but the majority of members aren't going to stay forever.
I think the main problem is that the ToO hasn't been getting active new members for years. While people have joined and started posting, it's mostly been Soda Shop posters who were already active and post on the ToO as a secondary choice. I'm a pretty good example of this, as I've accumulated over 400 posts on the ToO, but I really don't contribute that much to the board (with the possible exemption of my ToO wealth graph.
)
Earlier in the thread, I used the term "prominent member" to reference someone who joined and eventually entered what I would consider the core member group of the ToO. It's a little hard to define objectively, but I imagine the core member group as people who have:
1. A significant amount of posts. 1000 posts seems reasonable enough.
2. Created activity on the ToO. Not only do they post regularly, they start threads and post things that people can reply to, and might even run for an office.
I said that Woody was the last prominent member to join, and I think you could add Penguin to that list as well, now that he's achieved over 1000 posts. They both joined in 2012, and you really have to go back to 2011 to find a decent number of people who entered the core member group. It's probably fair to say more people from 2012 and maybe 2013 will enter that group, but the number of active members is definitely dropping off.
The Soda Shop opened on May 9th in 2012, and it's certainly plausible that its existence has directly contributed to the lack of new active members on the ToO. It's hard to say for sure, but I think that the SS has basically siphoned off a lot of people who would otherwise have posted on the ToO, maybe enough to become a core member of the board. I'm not sure you could say the Soda Shop and Town of Odyssey are directly competing, as there's at least some interaction between the boards, but I think that the SS has definitely engaged members who otherwise have joined the ToO. It would be really interesting to try to represent this mathematically, but I'm not sure how I would go about doing that.
I don't have a frame of reference for what the ToO was like before 2012, but I do remember it having significantly higher activity when I first started observing it, as opposed to now. While I would prefer a graph of the overall posts on the ToO, I'm not sure how to go about doing that, so I graphed the number of votes in elections instead. I would think this would be a fairly good measure of board participation. Keep in mind that for the 27th election, no one could get enough funding to run.
snubs wrote:Now that some months have past, I'm curious to hear your thoughts on the ToO's current state, TS. Because it now appears to be less active than here.
Last year, I said that I didn't think the ToO was going to die anytime soon. Now, I'm not completely sure. A little more than a year ago, people were discussing whether the ToO was dying or not, and it was still debatable whether the ToO was just in a slump.
http://thetoo.com/viewtopic.php?f=20&t=34063&start=0
Now that it's been an entire year since then, though, I don't think we can say the ToO is just having some temporary problems anymore. It's been declining for years now, and it's going to continue on that path given the current state of events. Unless there's a significant change, that would have to either engage the existing members who aren't posting or bring in a lot of new active members, I think it's safe to say that eventually, most likely in the next few years, the ToO will cease to be an active board. Members like bookworm, Catspaw, you, and maybe Laurie and Woody are going to stay committed to the ToO as long as possible, but they can't keep it running by themselves.